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This belongs to you. Take it back...
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Joe Addabbo 
Tue Nov 04, 2008 at 22:10:18 PM EST
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Looking good:
With 21% reporting:
Addabbo - 59%
Maltese - 41%
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Sun Nov 02, 2008 at 09:52:38 AM EST
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The new Siena Polls are hot off the presses an things look pretty good for Dems across the state. In fact, if these numbers are correct and the election wre held today, the GOP would lose it's Senate majority.
The biggest numbers to pop out is the lead Brian Foley has over Caesar Trunzo (R-FL) and the huge comeback by incumbent Dem Bill Stachowski. Foley leads Trunzo by a whopping 22 points and Stachowski has turned a 13 point deficit into a 4 point lead.
A rundown:
3rd SD - Suffolk County - Caesar Trunzo (R, incumbent) vs. Brian Foley (D)
Foley has a 56-34 percent lead over Trunzo. Trunzo led 46-40 percent in the previous Siena New York Poll. While Foley has picked up a little more support among Democrats, he has cut Trunzo's lead among Republican voters to 53-39 percent, down dramatically from 71-16 percent. Additionally, Foley has opened up a 63-27 percent lead among independent voters, up from 43-40 percent previously.
Foley has expanded a two-point lead in Brookhaven to a 12-point lead, and reversed 12-point deficit in Islip and turned it into 30-point lead. Where Trunzo had a nine-point lead among voters 55-years of age and older, Foley now leads with those voters 52-40 percent. Foley leads by 13 points with men and 30 points with women. The only demographic group in which Trunzo leads is among Republicans.
If Foley leads by even 10 points in Trunzo's Islip backyard, this thing is over. The poll shows a 30 point lead. And before the GOoPs start screaming about the poll sample, look at the Obama/McCain numbers. They are essentially dead even. It's not like they are only polling Dems.
6th SD - Nassau County - Kemp Hannon (R, incumbent) vs. Kristen McElroy (D)
Hannon has a commanding 56-30 percent lead, in a district that is virtually evenly enrolled between Republicans and Democrats. Hannon has the support of 80 percent of Republicans and picks up the support of nearly one-third of Democrats. McElroy only wins among Democrats 55-32 percent, while only attracting support from 10 percent of Republicans. Hannon leads among independent voters 56-21 percent.
McElroy leads among young voters and those in the Council District 1 section of the Hempstead portion of the Senate district. However, Hannon has much bigger leads in the remainder of the district and has better than 60 percent among voters who are at least 35-years old.
Ouch. Got some work to do here.
15th SD - Queens County - Serph Maltese (R, incumbent) vs. Joseph Addabbo, Jr. (D)
Addabbo currently has a slim 45-43 percent lead over Maltese. In the September Siena poll, the two were tied at 42 percent, in this district that has an overwhelmingly Democratic enrollment edge. Maltese has the support of more than three-quarters of Republicans and one-quarter of Democrats. Addabbo leads 61-27 percent among Democrats and picks up the support of 20 percent of Republicans. Maltese leads among independent voters 51-31 percent. Maltese leads by four points with men, while Addabbo has a seven-point lead with women. Addabbo leads in the southern part of the district and Maltese leads in the north.
Maltese is viewed favorably by 45 percent of voters and unfavorably by 33 percent of voters, down from a 48-16 percent favorable rating previously. Addabbo's favorable rating is 42-30 percent, and was previously 38-20 percent.
Obama leads McCain in this district 57-32 percent, up from 49-31 percent.
Maltese is deep doo doo here. Throw him an anvil.
48th SD - Oswego/Jefferson/St. Lawrence - Darrel Aubertine (D, incumbent) vs. David Renzi (R)
Aubertine, who had a 51-31 percent lead over Renzi in the last poll, has seen that lead drop to 49-38 percent. Aubertine has the support of nearly three-quarters of Democrats and more than one-third of Republicans in this district with a heavy Republican enrollment edge. Renzi leads 57-35 percent with Republicans, up from 41-37 percent previously, and only gets 13 percent of Democrats. Aubertine is winning among independent voters 49-34 percent, up from 41-37 percent previously. While Renzi has erased a 20-point Aubertine lead in Oswego County, and now leads there 44-37 percent, Aubertine has widened his leads in Jefferson (25 points, up from 16) and St. Lawrence (30 points, up from 27) Counties.
Aubertine is viewed favorably by 54 percent of voters and unfavorably by 31 percent of voters, down from 58-21 percent previously. Renzi has a 40-35 percent favorability rating; previously it was 34-15 percent.
Aubertine is going to fine.
58th SD - Erie County - William Stachowski (D, incumbent) vs. Dennis Delano (R)
Stachowski now has a 47-43 percent lead over Delano, after trailing 49-36 percent in the previous Siena poll in this district where Democrats have a better than two-to-one enrollment edge. Stachowski has increased his lead among Democrats to 62-30 percent (up from 51-34 percent). Delano maintains a 63-25 percent lead among Republicans (virtually unchanged from 64-23 percent) and has seen his lead among independent voters fall to 54-36 percent, down from 67-19 percent.
Whereas Delano led in all three sections of the district previously, Stachowski now leads 47-37 percent in Buffalo/Lackawanna, 48-45 percent in Cheektowaga, and 47-44 percent in the southern suburbs. Stachowski has a 12-point lead with men, while Delano has a two-point lead with women. Delano has a significant lead with Protestants. Stachowski leads with Catholics, and has a big lead among younger voters.
Stachowski has a 50-31 percent favorable rating. It had been 39-14 percent. Delano's favorable rating, 53-33 percent, is down from 63-15 percent. Delano continues to have a positive favorable rating with voters of every party, while Stachowski has increased his favorability among Democrats but lost ground with independent voters and saw his favorability among Republicans drop from 35-12 percent to 29-50 percent.
More than half of voters would like to see the Senate controlled by Democrats, and Obama has opened 55-37 percent lead over McCain, up from 45-41 percent previously.
"Senator Stachowski has turned this race around. In four weeks he has erased a 13-point deficit and turned it into a tight four-point lead. Where Delano previously had a much better favorable rating with voters, the two are now viewed by voters in virtually the same light. We will have to wait until Election Day to see if Stachowski continues his momentum to win re-election, or if Delano can turn this race back around again and defeat a 27-year incumbent in this overwhelmingly Democratic district," Greenberg said.
Stach is back. That's what a comeback looks like. I guess the more folks learn about Delano, the less they like what they see. Also, this one of those races that an Obama wave could seriously affect. If that wave reaches Buffalo, Stachowski could end up blowing Delano right out of the water.
61st SD - Erie and Genesee Counties - Michael Ranzenhofer (R) vs. Joseph Mesi (D)
Ranzenhofer has a 47-42 percent lead over Mesi, who had a slimmer 40-38 percent lead in the previous Siena poll, in this district where Republicans have a very small enrollment edge over Democrats. Ranzenhofer leads among Republicans 69-25 percent, up from 59-21 percent. Mesi leads among Democrats 62-29 percent, closer than the previous 63-19 percent. Mesi leads among independent voters 42-37 percent, although Ranzenhofer closed the gap from 43-28 percent. Mesi leads in Tonawanda by seven points (down from 10). Ranzenhofer leads in the Clarence/Newstead/Genesee County portions of the district by 15 points (up from two points), and in Amherst by three points (up a tick from two points).
Ranzenhofer has a 47-26 percent favorable rating, compared to 35-12 percent previously. Mesi's favorable rating is 46-37 percent, compared to 45-18 percent in the previous Siena poll.
While the race has shifted seven points from Mesi to Ranzenhofer, a reverse trend occurred on the question of who voters support to control the Senate. Previously, voters supported Republican control by a 44-38 percent margin, while now a slim plurality, 43-41 percent, support Democratic control. The presidential race also flipped, with McCain's 45-40 percent lead now becoming a 51-42 percent lead for Obama.
"This district is close in enrollment between Republicans and Democrats. The voters are close in their view on which party should control the Senate. The voters have switched their support from McCain to Obama over the last few weeks. And a small Mesi lead has turned into a slightly wider Ranzenhofer lead. Which party's voters turn out in larger numbers on Tuesday may well determine the outcome of this race. Either way, it figures to be a late night as the votes get counted in this race," Greenberg said.
This one may very well come down to Obama's GOTV operation as well. If his voters show in force, I think Mesi wins this thing. Mesi likes to remind folks that he is undefeated. If the Obama wave does indeed materialize in the manner that it appears to be, he'll be able to call himself undefeated still. Give him a hand.
Much more on these polls coming soon.
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Fri Oct 31, 2008 at 10:40:11 AM EDT
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The largest Spanish language paper in New York City, El Diario la Prensa, today endorses Joe Addabbo over Serph Maltese:
A vote for Addabbo
For too long, neighborhoods outside of our Manhattan-obsessed city have remained neglected. Councilman Joseph P. Addabbo Jr. recognizes the need for quality transportation and schools that serve families in Queens. We believe his experience and prioritizing of issues that affect the borough's older and emerging communities make him the right choice for representing District 15 in the New York State Senate.
Since 2002, Addabbo has served neighborhoods such as Richmond Hill, Woodhaven and Rockaway Beach in the City Council. He is challenging 19-year incumbent, Republican State Senator Serphin R. Maltese.
Maltese's district is 26 percent Latino, in a county with the largest diverse immigrant population in the nation. Yet Maltese's positions on a number of issues do not reflect the needs of many of our working families. For example, he voted against a state bill that allowed immigrant students to pay the same rate of in-state college tuition as citizen residents. Maltese is one of the state senators who has stood in the way of comprehensive sex education for teenagers.
In an editorial board meeting with El Diario/La Prensa, Addabbo said that he has encouraged the civic participation of immigrants. He is committed to using state resources to help small business owners. He believes that the state legislature should move forward with paid family leave legislation. Addabbo also wants to promote more transparency in state government-he calls for the creation of a nonpartisan independent budget office.
As a Councilman, Addabbo worked for years to budget and introduce a ferry service route from the Rockaways, and to improve bus service. He promises to follow through on his commitments to Queens and to rally for a city that sends more money to Albany than it receives.
On the web: Joe Addabbo for State Senate.
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Tue Oct 14, 2008 at 09:26:52 AM EDT
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Look out, Serph. Chuck is coming to town and he's got you in his sights.
Democrats bring in Chuck Schumer to help gain control of state Senate
Democrats are bringing in one of their biggest guns - U.S. Sen. Chuck Schumer - to campaign in a race that could determine control of the state Senate.
Schumer will be in Queens within the next week to campaign for City Councilman Joseph Addabbo, who is challenging longtime Republican Sen. Serphin Maltese.
"Chuck Schumer is a legend in New York politics with a record of unseating incumbents," said Addabbo spokeswoman Alexis Grenell.
"As the man who unmade the Republican Congress, Sen. Schumer is no stranger to a fight, and the councilman is thrilled to have him in his court."
It's really great to see both of our US Senators engaging in the fight for the State Senate this year, something that doesn't happen often enough. So far, we've seen Hillary Clinton raising money for the Senate Dems and endorsing some of our best challengers and now we see Chuck out stumping with them as well. Sure, they would both like to claim a little credit for the coming defeat of the GOP majority, but they are also putting heir money where their mouths are. And it's not over yet. Other endangered republican incumbents should take notice:
In addition to stumping for Addabbo, Schumer plans to hit the trail over the next few weeks for a number of New York Democrats running for Congress, state Senate, Assembly and some local races, an aide said.
Well done, Senators Schumer and Clinton.
On the web: Joe Addabbo for State Senate.
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Sun Oct 12, 2008 at 14:40:48 PM EDT
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Challengers Rick Dollinger, Joe Addabbo, and Brian X. Foley, along with incumbents Malcolm Smith, Eric Schniderman, and Andrea Stewart-Cousins were endorsed by New Yorkers Against Gun Violence and GunFreeKids.org primarily because their Republican opponents' voting records in favor of gun policies that belong in Kansas instead of New York
"For nearly eight years, the leadership in the State Senate has blocked almost every piece of common-sense gun legislation passed by the Assembly," said Andy Pelosi, President of GunFreeKids.org. "It's time for good policy to trump politics in the State Senate."
This year microstamping and improved gun dealer regulations - both important law enforcement tools to help investigate and pursue crime guns and the criminals who use them - are at the top of the groups' agendas. In 2008, the State Assembly passed both bills, but the Senate refused to act.
(snip)
The Endorsed State Senate Candidates Are:
Brian Foley, Third Senate District (Long Island)
Senator Malcolm Smith, 14th Senate District (Queens)
Joseph Addabbo, Jr., 15th Senate District (Queens)
Senator Eric Schneiderman, 31st Senate District (Manhattan/Bronx)
Senator Andrea Stewart-Cousins, 35th Senate District (Westchester)
Rick Dollinger, 56th Senate District (Greater Rochester)
This should be a nice finger-in-the-eye of the rediculous argument that New York Republicans are more moderate than their national counterparts. They're not. And I believe this is a huge reason why New York's suburbs are trending Democratic. In fact, this week Nassau County officially became more Democratic than Republican:
For decades, voters in Nassau County elected no one but Republicans. The party machine was so powerful that President Ronald Reagan once said "when a Republican dies and goes to heaven it looks a lot like Nassau County."
The shift to Democratic began in 2001 with the election of County Executive Tom Suozzi.
As of Tuesday, Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 118 votes. In 2002, Republicans outnumbered Democrats by more than 66,000 votes.
Keep on going that extremist road, Sens. Maltese, Trunzo, and Robach- please.
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Wed Sep 24, 2008 at 10:20:20 AM EDT
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As if you needed any more proof this week that Republicans can't handle money, take a look at where Dean Skelos has been blowing his campaign committee's money so far this cycle. He's spent close to $1.3 million on Barbara Donno ($650K in SD-7) and David Renzi ($600K in SD-48). The result? Their candidates are being crushed by 20 points or more. It seems that Skelos just can't let the SD-7 race go, as he continues to pour money into a vendetta race against Craig Johnson. As for SD-48, I guess they just can't get over the fact that they lost a seat they'd held since the 19th century and must feel that they are owed it or something. Darrel Aubertine appears to have sealed the deal with the good people of the district and even $600K doesn't seem to have changed that perception all that much.
The point is that that money is gone. It's not coming back. Dean has dropped well over million bucks on two long shots and has gotten two blowouts in return.
Of course, this all pales in comparison to the nearly $1 million, give or take a cup of coffee or two, that Dean has dumped into defending Serph Maltese. That's a lot of money and it's only September. The result? A dead heat against 20 year incumbent. A million bucks and Maltese is still in real serious trouble.
With mad fiscal skillz like these, is it any wonder our state budget is in such a mess?
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Wed Sep 17, 2008 at 16:01:33 PM EDT
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I made it down to City Hall today to meet a good number of state Senate candidates today. They were joined by Minority Leader Smith as well as Senators Klein and Savino. They were assembled there on the City Hall steps to call out the Senate Republicans who, when faced with yet more problems with the city and state's economy, still don't believe they need to come back to Albany to address it and still are offering up the same tired and discredited solutions they always do, the ones we've learned time and time again don't work.
I was able to speak with a number of them after the press conference and I'll have video shortly of Joe Mesi, Kristen McElroy and Jim Gennarro as well as many more pics. Here's McElroy for now. I have to say that I was quite impressed with both McElroy and Mesi as it was the first time I had met either one.
Jim Gennarro, Dan Squadron, Kristen McElroy and Joe Addabbo.
Video shortly.
UPDATE: Robert has much more one post below.
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Tue Sep 16, 2008 at 16:29:17 PM EDT
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I like this. Via email:
Democratic Senate Candidates Blast Republicans for Failing New York
(New York, NY) Throughout their 40 years in control of the State Senate, Republicans have failed to meet the needs of working class New Yorkers. With a struggling economy, rising energy costs and the potential loss of jobs in the financial sector, New York can no longer afford the unfulfilled promises of Senate Republicans. Democratic candidates for the State Senate are holding a press conference to blast Republicans for failing to make the changes needed to get New York back on track.
Invited:
Joseph Addabbo (SD-15)
Ken Dow(SD-41)
Brian X. Foley (SD-3)
Jim Gennarro (SD-11)
Hiram Monseratte (SD-13)
Larry de la Rose (SD-39)
Daniel Squadron (SD-25)
Where:
City Hall Steps - NYC
When:
Wednesday, September 17, 2008 @ 12 noon
I'm going to try to make this one.
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Fri Aug 22, 2008 at 11:08:04 AM EDT
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This real bad news for GOP incumbent Serph Maltese. The man who almost beat him in 2006 and was threating to run a third party (his own "Hope and Change" party) campaign if he lost the Dem primary with City Councilman Joe Addabbo, is dropping out of the race According to Liz:
Democratic sources confirm Albert Baldeo, who came within some 800 votes of ousting veteran Republican Sen. Serphin Maltese in 2006, will throw his support to the Democratic establishment candidate, Councilman Joe Addabbo, this afternoon and stop campaigning.
Techincally speaking, Baldeo can't officially drop out of the race since it's too late to remove his name from the primary ballot.
The formal announcement will be made at 3 p.m. at Baldeo's law offices on Liberty Avenue. Also expected to attend are Addabbo, Senate Minority Leader Malcolm Smith, Rep. Greg Meeks and Queens Democratic Chairman Joe Crowley.
This is not good news for Maltese, who is one of the Democrats' top targets as they try to take control of the Senate from the GOP this fall. Baldeo had threatened to remain in the general election on a third party line, which could have made a difference in a contest that's expected to be very close.
This is huge news. Maltese was in real, genuine trouble before this news. Now, he's gonna need all the help that Skelos can give him. This is an existential fight for the guy.
It won't be easy by any stretch of the imagination, but this one looks to be a pickup, folks.
More soon.
On the web: Joe Addabbo at ActBlue.
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Mon Aug 11, 2008 at 10:40:53 AM EDT
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On Friday I posted about the taxpayer funded campaign literature contituent outreach mailers that Serph Maltese is carpet bombing the 15th SD with. Today we learn that Maltese is once again campaigning with YOUR money and is depending on folks from the many groups in the district that "he" claims to fund to save his seat.
Maltese has not gotten a similar influx of GOP campaign guns, but he said he will instead draw on paid consultants and volunteers from the 227 groups he funds with grants.
He bristled at the notion that he is the most vulnerable GOP senator.
"That puts me in a very good position to secure funding from not only the Senate, but many of the groups that I have been helping in the past," he said.
First, let's disabuse Senator Maltese of the notion that he "funds" anything. He doesn't. WE do. I, for one, am pretty damn tired of pols putting their names all over stuff and then telling us that these things exist solely through their largesse. That's just ridiculous. Please stop.
Secondly, did Maltese really just say what I think he said? Did he really just say that he is depending on volunteers from organizations that he steers our money to all the while claiming credit? I mean, I'm not naive. I know that this is how many of these guys think and that it's also the way many of these orgs think. This is that magic time, the time that arrives every two years where incumbents stomp around their districts handing out truckloads of other people's money as if it were their own. But, I don't know that I've ever seen a pol actually come right out and say in black and white that those folks, the ones receiving all that public money, owe him or that he is depending on them to hit the streets on his behalf or, to be as blunt as Senator Maltese, give some of that money back to him. Read that again:
"That puts me in a very good position to secure funding from not only the Senate, but many of the groups that I have been helping in the past," he said.
Isn't that pretty much a presumption of a quid pro quo? We all know that these guys see your money as means to buy the support of voters. I've just never seen a politician state it so explicitly.
On the web: Joe Addabbo at ActBlue.
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Fri Aug 08, 2008 at 17:20:49 PM EDT
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What does this look like to you?
If you answered "campaign mailer", please step to the head of the class. Then take a look at who paid for it.
US Postage
PAID
New York Senate
That's right. YOU paid for it.
Much more including more images on the flip...
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